Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-20 0.000146 0.000162 0.000178 0.000198 0.000220 0.000243 0.000271
2025-07-27 0.000116 0.000139 0.000165 0.000197 0.000237 0.000285 0.000346
2025-08-03 0.000100 0.000126 0.000158 0.000201 0.000257 0.000328 0.000426
2025-08-10 0.000086 0.000113 0.000149 0.000198 0.000266 0.000357 0.000491
2025-08-17 0.000076 0.000104 0.000141 0.000196 0.000275 0.000386 0.000557
2025-08-24 0.000068 0.000095 0.000134 0.000193 0.000280 0.000409 0.000617
2025-08-31 0.000060 0.000087 0.000126 0.000186 0.000280 0.000424 0.000666
2025-09-07 0.000055 0.000082 0.000122 0.000187 0.000290 0.000454 0.000741
2025-09-14 0.000052 0.000079 0.000121 0.000189 0.000304 0.000491 0.000832
2025-09-21 0.000048 0.000074 0.000115 0.000186 0.000306 0.000510 0.000894
2025-09-28 0.000043 0.000068 0.000109 0.000179 0.000302 0.000517 0.000935
2025-10-05 0.000041 0.000066 0.000107 0.000181 0.000314 0.000552 0.001033
2025-10-12 0.000039 0.000064 0.000107 0.000184 0.000329 0.000597 0.001159
2025-10-19 0.000036 0.000061 0.000103 0.000183 0.000336 0.000628 0.001261
2025-10-26 0.000034 0.000059 0.000102 0.000186 0.000350 0.000675 0.001407
2025-11-02 0.000032 0.000056 0.000099 0.000183 0.000354 0.000701 0.001511
2025-11-09 0.000030 0.000053 0.000096 0.000182 0.000359 0.000732 0.001628
2025-11-16 0.000028 0.000050 0.000092 0.000178 0.000361 0.000754 0.001729
2025-11-23 0.000026 0.000047 0.000088 0.000172 0.000357 0.000762 0.001800
2025-11-30 0.000024 0.000046 0.000086 0.000173 0.000365 0.000801 0.001952
2025-12-07 0.000024 0.000045 0.000086 0.000175 0.000380 0.000855 0.002151
2025-12-14 0.000022 0.000042 0.000082 0.000172 0.000380 0.000875 0.002265
2025-12-21 0.000020 0.000040 0.000078 0.000166 0.000372 0.000875 0.002322